Finn Harps 2-1 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.21/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.21
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
224 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2026 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
19.09.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
15.08.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 3-1 HT 3-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İRK
04.08.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-2 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
30.05.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
21.03.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 5-0 HT 3-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
2-1
AWAY Bray Wanderers
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps nicked a narrow win over Bray Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bray Wanderers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Finn Harps had 54% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 46%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Finn Harps and 1.83 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Finn Harps 2-1 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 33%, draw 25%, Bray Wanderers 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bray Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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