Karabağ vs Turan Tovuz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karabağ v Turan Tovuz — Team-Based Signals
Karabağ vs Turan Tovuz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Karabağ squeezed past Turan Tovuz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Karabağ and 0.83 for Turan Tovuz.
What was the final score of Karabağ vs Turan Tovuz?
Karabağ 2-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Turan Tovuz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 55%, draw 30%, Turan Tovuz 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.