Dugopolje 2-1 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.35/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.73
+7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
1W-1D-4L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Dugopolje Dugopolje 2-1 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
19.10.2025 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-0 HT 0-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
22.02.2025 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 2-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
28.09.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-1 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
11.05.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
15.03.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 2-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dugopolje
2-1
AWAY HNK Cibalia
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje squeezed past HNK Cibalia 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Dugopolje made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dugopolje had 44% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 56%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HNK Cibalia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dugopolje and 1.50 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia?

Dugopolje 2-1 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 37%, draw 28%, HNK Cibalia 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dugopolje), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✓ BTTS Yes
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