Dugopolje 2-1 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.3pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.11/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.61
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
0W-1D-4L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-0 HT 0-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
22.02.2025 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 2-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
28.09.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-1 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
11.05.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
15.03.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 2-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dugopolje
2-1
AWAY HNK Cibalia
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje nicked a narrow win over HNK Cibalia 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dugopolje found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dugopolje had 57% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 43%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, HNK Cibalia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Dugopolje and 1.60 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia?

Dugopolje 2-1 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated an HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 36%, draw 26%, HNK Cibalia 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✗ Under 2.5
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