Dubrava Zagreb 1-3 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.9
No
41%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
20%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+10.0pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.26/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+81% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
168 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jarun
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Jarun Jarun 1-1 HT 1-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
22.03.2025 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
15.11.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
07.09.2024 Jarun Jarun 3-1 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
12.04.2024 Jarun Jarun 0-1 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
16.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1-3
AWAY Jarun
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun beat Dubrava Zagreb 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jarun as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 50% of the ball to Jarun's 50%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jarun led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dubrava Zagreb and 1.00 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun?

Dubrava Zagreb 1-3 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 23%, draw 25%, Jarun 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jarun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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