Jarun 1-1 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 32%
-34% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.76/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.32
-34% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
15.11.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
07.09.2024 Jarun Jarun 3-1 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
12.04.2024 Jarun Jarun 0-1 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
16.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-1
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun and Dubrava Zagreb couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Jarun had 41% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 59%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jarun had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jarun and 0.60 for Dubrava Zagreb.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Jarun 1-1 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jarun 39%, draw 26%, Dubrava Zagreb 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jarun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
19 Oct 2025
16:30 HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje Analysis →