Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
Sporting CP
POR
Sporting CP 5-1 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP cruised past Vitoria Guimaraes 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Sporting CP had 52% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 48%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 4.57 to 0.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sporting CP and 1.67 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Sporting CP 5-1 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 77%, draw 13%, Vitoria Guimaraes 9%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.