Sporting CP 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.6pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
2.27/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.77
+8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
23.0 Crosses 13.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.98 xG 0.92
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
477 Passes 267
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.01.2025 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 4-4 HT 1-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
21.04.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
09.12.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
24.04.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
05.11.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
19.03.2022 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
2-0
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
2.46 xG 0.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
390 Passes 342
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
37 Box Touches 1
19 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP got the better of Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP had 53% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 47%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 2.46 to 0.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Sporting CP and 1.33 for Vitoria Guimaraes.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Sporting CP 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 58%, draw 22%, Vitoria Guimaraes 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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