Farense 1-2 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.0pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.25/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.06
-30% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
25.9 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.48 xG 1.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
192 Passes 306
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.01.2025 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-0 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR
01.08.2021 Farense Farense 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara PORLC
19.05.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 4-0 HT 2-0 Farense Farense POR
04.02.2021 Farense Farense 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
20.09.2015 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-0 HT 2-0 Farense Farense POR2
08.02.2015 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense
1-2
AWAY Santa Clara
1.63 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
292 Passes 196
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Farense vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara nicked a narrow win over Farense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Santa Clara found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farense had 57% of the ball to Santa Clara's 43%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.63 to 1.22 — on chances, Farense could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Farense and 1.33 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Farense vs Santa Clara?

Farense 1-2 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Farense 33%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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