Arouca vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arouca v Boavista — Team-Based Signals
Arouca vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-3
Arouca
POR
2-2
HT 1-0
Boavista
POK
0-0
HT 0-0
Arouca
POR
1-2
HT 1-1
Boavista
POR
Arouca 4-1 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics
Arouca cruised past Boavista 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arouca as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arouca had 58% of the ball to Boavista's 42%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.80 to 1.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arouca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arouca and 1.00 for Boavista.
What was the final score of Arouca vs Boavista?
Arouca 4-1 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arouca vs Boavista?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arouca win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arouca 46%, draw 29%, Boavista 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arouca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.