Estoril vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Estrela — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Estrela Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
Estoril 4-0 Estrela — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril ran out comfortable winners over Estrela 4-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Estoril found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Estoril had 50% of the ball to Estrela's 50%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 2.59 to 0.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estoril had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estoril and 1.33 for Estrela.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Estrela?
Estoril 4-0 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Estrela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estoril 38%, draw 26%, Estrela 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.