Sporting Braga vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
Sporting Braga 1-1 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga and Benfica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Benfica at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Braga had 41% of the ball to Benfica's 59%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.95 to 1.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sporting Braga and 2.00 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Benfica?
Sporting Braga 1-1 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 29%, draw 23%, Benfica 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 went the other way.