Trans Narva 1-3 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
9.57
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
72%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
7%
+4.3pp
17%
Draw
14%
+2.7pp
72%
Away Win
79%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 84%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
0.63/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/0.70
-23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
0W-0D-6L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2026 FC Levadia FC Levadia 7-0 HT 4-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
02.11.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-4 HT 0-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
29.08.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-1 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
27.06.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
14.05.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
05.04.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
1-3
AWAY FC Levadia
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia got the better of Trans Narva 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Trans Narva had 33% of the ball to FC Levadia's 67%, shots finished 6-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Trans Narva and 3.00 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs FC Levadia?

Trans Narva 1-3 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 12%, draw 17%, FC Levadia 72%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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