Sacramento Republic 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
48%
-12.6pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.8pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.59/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.19
+8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.2 Crosses 16.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sacramento Republic
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.96 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
308 Passes 346
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.07.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
10.10.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sacramento Republic
0-1
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.06 xG 0.70
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
373 Passes 155
78% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Sacramento Republic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Pittsburgh Riverhounds edged past Sacramento Republic 1-0 away from home in the USL Championship on 4 Aug 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sacramento Republic had 65% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 35%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.06 to 0.70.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sacramento Republic and 0.50 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Sacramento Republic 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 35%, draw 34%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Under 2.5
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