Defensor Sporting 2-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 4 Aug 2026

📅04/08/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.54
Over 2.5
54%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
61%
-14.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
39%
+14.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
1.70/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.54
+6% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerro
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2026 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
12.10.2025 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
23.06.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
15.04.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-2 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
07.09.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
26.02.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 5-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
2-1
AWAY Cerro
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Defensor Sporting vs Cerro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Defensor Sporting edged past Cerro 2-1 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 4 Aug 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 15-5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.00 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?

Defensor Sporting 2-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 51%, draw 23%, Cerro 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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