Gürcistan 2-3 Türkiye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 4 Sep 2025

Gürcistan
2-3 HT 0-2
Türkiye
📅04/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Gürcistan vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+7.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gürcistan v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gürcistan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkiye EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.37/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.15
-70% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
– Crosses 27.0
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Gürcistan vs Türkiye Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gürcistan
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Türkiye
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.37 xG 3.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
379 Passes 511
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.06.2024 Türkiye Türkiye 3-1 HT 1-1 Gürcistan Gürcistan AVR
24.05.2012 Türkiye Türkiye 3-1 HT 2-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ
07.02.2007 Gürcistan Gürcistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Türkiye Türkiye HAZ
30.03.2005 Gürcistan Gürcistan 2-5 HT 2-3 Türkiye Türkiye DKE
04.09.2004 Türkiye Türkiye 1-1 HT 0-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan DKE

Gürcistan 2-3 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gürcistan
2-3
AWAY Türkiye
1.13 xG 0.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
351 Passes 298
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gürcistan vs Türkiye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye edged past Gürcistan 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Türkiye as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gürcistan had 54% of the ball to Türkiye's 46%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.13 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Türkiye led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Gürcistan and 2.40 for Türkiye.

What was the final score of Gürcistan vs Türkiye?

Gürcistan 2-3 Türkiye in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gürcistan vs Türkiye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Türkiye win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gürcistan 29%, draw 25%, Türkiye 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Türkiye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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