Gürcistan vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities
Gürcistan v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals
Gürcistan vs Türkiye Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Gürcistan 2-3 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics
Türkiye edged past Gürcistan 3-2 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Türkiye as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Gürcistan's favour, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.13 to 0.73.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Türkiye led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.20 a game for Gürcistan against 2.40 for Türkiye.
Gürcistan vs Türkiye Result & Final Score
Gürcistan 2 - 3 Türkiye in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Gürcistan vs Türkiye Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Türkiye win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gürcistan 30%, draw 28%, Türkiye 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.