Cambrian & Clydach 3-2 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.74
Over 2.5
49%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
33%
+18.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
67%
-18.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambrian & Clydach EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
2.17/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.70
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambrian & Clydach
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ammanford
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
5 Corners 6
02.03.2024 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 0-0 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
09.09.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 3-1 HT 2-1 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach GALFAW
04.04.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 1-1 HT 0-0 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach GALFAW
26.08.2022 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 3-1 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
12.02.2022 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 3-0 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
22.10.2021 Ammanford Ammanford 3-4 HT 1-1 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambrian & Clydach edged past Ammanford 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cambrian & Clydach as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambrian & Clydach had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cambrian & Clydach and 1.33 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford?

Cambrian & Clydach 3-2 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambrian & Clydach win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cambrian & Clydach 51%, draw 23%, Ammanford 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambrian & Clydach) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambrian & Clydach) ✗ Under 2.5
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