Farnborough 2-2 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.29/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.32
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bath City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Farnborough Farnborough 0-2 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
01.01.2025 Bath City Bath City 1-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
09.03.2024 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
25.11.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 2-2 HT 1-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
28.01.2023 Bath City Bath City 0-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
27.08.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough and Bath City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bath City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Farnborough and 1.00 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Bath City?

Farnborough 2-2 Bath City in the England - Conference on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 39%, draw 28%, Bath City 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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