Bristol City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
13%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.42
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.45
X/2
11%
8.52
X/X
10%
4.95
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
10%
6.59
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.46/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.29
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.5 Crosses 17.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.09
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 1-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
14.12.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
17.02.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
11.11.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
08.05.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-2 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
01.10.2022 Bristol City Bristol City 1-2 HT 0-2 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
1-2
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.21 xG 0.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
411 Passes 273
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers nicked a narrow win over Bristol City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bristol City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bristol City had 58% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 42%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.21 to 0.48 — on chances, Bristol City could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bristol City and 0.83 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Bristol City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 50%, draw 22%, Queens Park Rangers 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bristol City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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