Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Mallorca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 52% of the ball to Mallorca's 48%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.05 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Athletic Bilbao's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.50 for Mallorca.
Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Result & Final Score
Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 58%, draw 25%, Mallorca 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.