Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Mallorca
İS1
Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 56% of the ball to Mallorca's 44%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.71 to 0.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.33 for Mallorca.
What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca?
Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 51%, draw 25%, Mallorca 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) went the other way.