Real Sociedad 0-1 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.58
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
10%
5.04
X/2
10%
6.12
X/X
12%
3.6
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
14%
4.82
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.21/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.38
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.6 Crosses 17.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sevilla
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
407 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
02.03.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 3-2 HT 2-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
26.11.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 2-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
04.06.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
09.11.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
20.03.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
0-1
AWAY Sevilla
0.67 xG 0.58
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
441 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla edged past Real Sociedad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 61% of the ball to Sevilla's 39%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.67 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.00 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Sevilla?

Real Sociedad 0-1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 42%, draw 27%, Sevilla 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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