Getafe 2-1 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.22
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.67
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
6%
16.55
X/1
14%
8.48
X/2
15%
4.12
X/X
14%
3.76
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.55
2/X
10%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 54%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.13/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.01
-50% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.3 Crosses 14.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.79 xG 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
359 Passes 412
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2025 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 5-0 HT 3-0 Getafe Getafe İSPK
15.12.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
03.08.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid HAZ
15.05.2024 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
19.12.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-3 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
04.02.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
2-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.27 xG 1.02
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
235 Passes 431
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Getafe vs Atletico Madrid
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Getafe edged past Atletico Madrid 2-1 in the Spain - Primera Liga on 9 Mar 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Getafe had 39% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 61%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.27 to 1.02.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Getafe and 2.67 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Atletico Madrid?

Getafe 2-1 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Getafe 26%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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