Real Betis 1-0 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
19.8
X/1
13%
3.72
X/2
10%
16.35
X/X
7%
6.97
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.1
2/2
8%
14.35
2/X
6%
23.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-14.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.99/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.02
-23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.8 Crosses 11.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.31 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 Passes 448
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
16.05.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
26.11.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
07.08.2019 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
19.04.2018 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
03.12.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-0
AWAY Las Palmas
2.31 xG 0.63
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
511 Passes 212
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis edged past Las Palmas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Betis as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Real Betis had 67% of the ball to Las Palmas's 33%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.31 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Betis's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Betis and 0.67 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Las Palmas?

Real Betis 1-0 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 55%, draw 23%, Las Palmas 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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