Girona 2-1 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.78
Over
49%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.96
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.73
6+
10%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.33
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.21
X/2
16%
6.38
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.57
2/X
5%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Girona The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia The Market 34%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.33 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.05
1.46 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.35
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.2 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valencia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.36
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
486 Passes 277
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Girona Girona 1-1 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
21.09.2024 Valencia Valencia 2-0 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1
19.05.2024 Valencia Valencia 1-3 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
02.12.2023 Girona Girona 2-1 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
05.02.2023 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
14.08.2022 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
2-1
AWAY Valencia
1.00 xG 1.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
313 Passes 385
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Girona vs Valencia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Girona found just enough to beat Valencia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (40% / 25% / 35%); Girona picked one for it.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, Girona had 45% of the ball to Valencia's 55%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 1.00 to 1.14.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Girona and 1.00 for Valencia.

Girona vs Valencia Result & Final Score

Girona 2-1 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Girona vs Valencia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Girona 40%, draw 25%, Valencia 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
4 Oct 2025
15:00 Real Oviedo vs Levante Analysis →
19:30 Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Analysis →
22:00 Real Madrid vs Villarreal Analysis →