FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
12.23
Draw
11%
5.28
Away
82%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
38%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
32%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
5%
+1.9pp
11%
Draw
16%
-4.5pp
82%
Away Win
79%
+2.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 84%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.90/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.58
+9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +66%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
30.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
28.02.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-3 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
03.11.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
11.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.06.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris nicked a narrow win over FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.83 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 7%, draw 11%, Kauno Zalgiris 82%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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