Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.0pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.6pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 14%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.57/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.11
-23% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
28.02.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-3 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
03.11.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
11.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.06.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
14.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris ran out comfortable winners over FK Dainava Alytus 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.33 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 57%, draw 25%, FK Dainava Alytus 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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