Mazatlan vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mazatlan v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals
Mazatlan vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Mazatlan
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Mazatlan
MEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Atletico San Luis
MEK
Mazatlan 2-1 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics
Mazatlan nicked a narrow win over Atletico San Luis 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mazatlan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Mazatlan had 47% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 53%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.09 to 1.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mazatlan and 1.83 for Atletico San Luis.
What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Atletico San Luis?
Mazatlan 2-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Atletico San Luis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 41%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mazatlan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.