Central & Western 5-0 South China — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
34%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Central & Western win — 44%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
59%
-15.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
21%
+13.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.1pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central & Western EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY South China EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.98/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+39% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
441 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central & Western
5W-0D-0L
AWAY South China
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 South China South China 0-4 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
01.05.2024 Central & Western Central & Western 2-1 HT 2-0 South China South China HK2
26.11.2023 South China South China 0-3 HT 0-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
02.04.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 2-1 HT 1-0 South China South China HK2
03.10.2021 South China South China 1-2 HT 1-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central & Western
5-0
AWAY South China
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Central & Western vs South China
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western ran out comfortable winners over South China 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Central & Western had 61% of the ball to South China's 39%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Central & Western had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Central & Western and 0.60 for South China.

What was the final score of Central & Western vs South China?

Central & Western 5-0 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central & Western vs South China?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Central & Western 44%, draw 22%, South China 34%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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