Bragantino 1-0 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.52
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.0
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
17%
4.7
X/2
8%
7.2
X/X
11%
4.0
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
11%
5.79
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
1.32/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.32
-2% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.3 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
295 Passes 311
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2025 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
04.08.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
22.09.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
12.06.2024 Bragantino 1-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
26.10.2023 Bragantino 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
11.06.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-0
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.42 xG 0.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 12
304 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino nicked a narrow win over Atletico Mineiro 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bragantino had 48% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 52%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.42 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bragantino and 1.67 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Atletico Mineiro?

Bragantino 1-0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 49%, draw 25%, Atletico Mineiro 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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