Santos 1-1 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 Feb 2026

Santos
1-1 HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
📅05/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Santos vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.5
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.19
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.78
X/2
6%
6.61
X/X
8%
4.09
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
12%
5.24
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
43%
+9.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.52/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.28
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.2 Crosses 16.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Santos vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.64
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
217 Passes 439
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.09.2025 Santos Santos 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
20.04.2025 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-1 HT 2-1 Santos Santos BR1
13.11.2023 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
16.07.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4-1 HT 2-0 Santos Santos BR1
13.02.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-1 HT 2-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
22.08.2022 Santos Santos 1-0 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1

Santos 1-1 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
1-1
AWAY Sao Paulo
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
331 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Santos vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos and Sao Paulo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Santos at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Santos had 50% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 50%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santos and 1.50 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Santos vs Sao Paulo?

Santos 1-1 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Santos 53%, draw 24%, Sao Paulo 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5
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