Palmeiras vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BR1
0-3
HT 0-2
Palmeiras
BR1
Palmeiras 5-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras ran out comfortable winners over Vitoria 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Palmeiras had 60% of the ball to Vitoria's 40%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.38 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Palmeiras and 1.00 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Vitoria?
Palmeiras 5-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 68%, draw 17%, Vitoria 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.