Monterrey 4-0 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.03
Over
52%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.6
2-3
42%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.03
6+
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Monterrey The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro The Market 21%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.89 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.86
1.03 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.57
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.4 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Queretaro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.82 xG 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
482 Passes 282
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2025 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
17.02.2025 Queretaro Queretaro 2-4 HT 0-3 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
21.07.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
25.01.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
12.11.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
16.02.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 2-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
4-0
AWAY Queretaro
1.98 xG 0.42
77% Ball Possession 23%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
588 Passes 127
93% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Monterrey vs Queretaro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monterrey made light work of Queretaro 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, possession split 77% to 23% in Monterrey's favour, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.98 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Monterrey against 0.67 for Queretaro.

Monterrey vs Queretaro Result & Final Score

Monterrey 4-0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monterrey vs Queretaro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 56%, draw 26%, Queretaro 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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