Puebla vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Puebla v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Puebla vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Puebla 3-1 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Puebla had too much for Tigres UANL 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Puebla had 39% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 61%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.82 to 1.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Puebla and 2.67 for Tigres UANL.
Puebla vs Tigres UANL Result & Final Score
Puebla 3-1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Puebla vs Tigres UANL Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Puebla 23%, draw 25%, Tigres UANL 52%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5 went the other way.