05/04/2024
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Epinal vs Nimes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75
— our 35% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
34%
Draw
28%
31%
Away Win
44%
61%
Under 2.5
56%
39%
Over 2.5
44%
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
55%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Epinal v Nimes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Epinal
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nimes
EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% /
-8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
1.32/1.47
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
+15%
/
-21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-25%
/
+12%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
7
264 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
Epinal vs Nimes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Epinal
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Nimes
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
39%
Ball Possession
61%
7
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
1
1
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
03.11.2023
Nimes
1-3
HT 1-2
Epinal
FR3
1-3
HT 1-2
Epinal
FR3
POST-MATCH
Epinal vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Epinal squeezed past Nimes 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Epinal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Epinal vs Nimes?
Epinal 2-1 Nimes in the France - National League 1 on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Epinal vs Nimes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Epinal win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Epinal 36%, draw 34%, Nimes 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Epinal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Epinal)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FR3
More France - National League 1
5 Apr 2024