Le Mans FC vs Avranches Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Le Mans FC v Avranches — Team-Based Signals
Le Mans FC vs Avranches Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Le Mans FC
FR3
4-0
HT 2-0
Le Mans FC
FR3
3-0
HT 3-0
Avranches
FR3
1-3
HT 0-0
Avranches
FR3
0-1
HT 0-1
Le Mans FC
FR3
1-1
HT 1-0
Avranches
FR3
Le Mans FC 3-4 Avranches — Actual Match Statistics
Avranches squeezed past Le Mans FC 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Le Mans FC at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Le Mans FC had 57% of the ball to Avranches's 43%, shots finished 11-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avranches led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Le Mans FC and 1.67 for Avranches.
What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Avranches?
Le Mans FC 3-4 Avranches in the France - National League 1 on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Avranches?
Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 58%, draw 23%, Avranches 19%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Le Mans FC), BTTS No went the other way.