Monts dOr Azergues 3-4 Cholet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.06
6+ Goals
11%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
22%
3.94
X/2
6%
8.34
X/X
10%
4.57
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
15%
6.83
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monts dOr Azergues EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cholet EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -27%
1.68/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.74
+5% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monts dOr Azergues
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cholet
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
03.11.2023 Cholet Cholet 1-0 HT 0-0 Monts dOr Azergues Monts dOr Azergues FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monts dOr Azergues
3-4
AWAY Cholet
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monts dOr Azergues vs Cholet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cholet squeezed past Monts dOr Azergues 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Monts dOr Azergues at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Monts dOr Azergues had 48% of the ball to Cholet's 52%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Monts dOr Azergues vs Cholet?

Monts dOr Azergues 3-4 Cholet in the France - National League 1 on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monts dOr Azergues vs Cholet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monts dOr Azergues win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Monts dOr Azergues 48%, draw 25%, Cholet 27%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monts dOr Azergues)
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