Orleans 1-1 Marignane GCB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.05
X/1
18%
3.38
X/2
10%
12.55
X/X
19%
4.9
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
9%
11.4
2/X
5%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
63%
-16.8pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.85/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.03
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marignane GCB
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.11.2023 Marignane GCB Marignane GCB 0-0 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Marignane GCB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans and Marignane GCB couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Orleans at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Marignane GCB?

Orleans 1-1 Marignane GCB in the France - National League 1 on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Marignane GCB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orleans 46%, draw 30%, Marignane GCB 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orleans), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orleans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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