Red Star FC 93 2-1 Niort — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.26
X/2
9%
7.87
X/X
16%
4.72
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
17%
5.99
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-10.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Niort EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.69/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.33
+7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Niort
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
315 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Niort Niort 1-1 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
17.05.2019 Niort Niort 1-0 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
27.07.2018 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 0-0 Niort Niort FR2
24.02.2017 Niort Niort 2-3 HT 1-2 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
23.09.2016 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-1 HT 0-0 Niort Niort FR2
15.04.2016 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-2 HT 0-1 Niort Niort FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
2-1
AWAY Niort
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Niort
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 nicked a narrow win over Niort 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Red Star FC 93 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 58% of the ball to Niort's 42%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Niort led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 1.50 for Niort.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Niort?

Red Star FC 93 2-1 Niort in the France - National League 1 on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Niort?

Before kick-off our model rated a Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 39%, draw 30%, Niort 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Red Star FC 93) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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