Gateshead 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
8%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 30% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.46
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
11%
4.5
X/2
10%
8.24
X/X
15%
5.36
2/1
6%
22.45
2/2
10%
6.19
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
2.06/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.30
+29% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
93 · 95% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 103 · 95%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 7-1 HT 2-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
12.03.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 1-0 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
15.08.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-4 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
28.03.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-0 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
06.08.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-2 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
16.02.2019 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
2-1
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead edged past Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gateshead as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gateshead had 62% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 38%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gateshead and 1.83 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Gateshead 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 47%, draw 26%, Dagenham & Redbridge 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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