Bradford City 2-0 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.48
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
11%
4.22
X/2
10%
8.89
X/X
18%
4.13
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
10%
7.74
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.58/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.38
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 67%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.2 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
273 Passes 231
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
01.01.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
26.08.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
03.05.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-2 HT 2-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
27.08.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
31.08.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
2-0
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
3.10 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
206 Passes 234
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City beat Crewe Alexandra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bradford City had 48% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 52%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 3.10 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bradford City and 1.17 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Crewe Alexandra?

Bradford City 2-0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 43%, draw 31%, Crewe Alexandra 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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