Bromley 4-0 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.4
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
10%
5.05
X/2
10%
6.28
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
17%
4.74
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromley EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
1.27/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.44
-21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
265 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 67%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.7 Crosses 20.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromley
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 0.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
120 Passes 188
50% Pass Accuracy 57%
11 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 1-1 Bromley Bromley İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromley
4-0
AWAY Accrington Stanley
3.43 xG 0.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
129 Passes 133
51% Pass Accuracy 52%
17 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bromley vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley ran out comfortable winners over Accrington Stanley 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Bromley made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Bromley had 51% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 49%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 3.43 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Bromley vs Accrington Stanley?

Bromley 4-0 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromley vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bromley 39%, draw 28%, Accrington Stanley 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bromley), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bromley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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