Accrington Stanley 1-2 Bromley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.5
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.34
X/2
14%
5.92
X/X
14%
4.67
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.03
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromley EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.56/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.78
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +135%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
216 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 69%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
23.6 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
1-2
AWAY Bromley
0.13 xG 0.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
188 Passes 120
57% Pass Accuracy 50%
7 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Bromley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley edged past Accrington Stanley 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Bromley made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 56% of the ball to Bromley's 44%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.13 to 0.76.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Bromley?

Accrington Stanley 1-2 Bromley in the England - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Bromley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 38%, draw 27%, Bromley 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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