Oxford United 1-0 Sheffield United — Result, Stats & Model Review (England - Championship, 5 Apr 2025)

Oxford United

1-0 HT 1-0

Sheffield United

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗

England - Championship – 2024/2025

Oxford United vs Sheffield United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

24%

4.04

Draw

27%

3.35

Away

49%

1.77

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5 OUR CALL

57%

1.67

Over 2.5

43%

2.1

Both Teams to Score

Yes

44%

1.99

56%

1.73

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

31%

2.67

2-3 Goals

41%

1.76

4-5 Goals

18%

4.21

6+ Goals

10%

20.9

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

7.78

1/2

27.0

1/X

16.55

X/1

9.06

X/2

15%

4.16

X/X

10%

4.45

2/1

35.0

2/2

27%

2.38

2/X

14.9

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

◎

Our call

Under 2.5 — 57% ✓

Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.

STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

24%

Home Win

21%

+2.7pp

27%

Draw

26%

+0.7pp

49%

Away Win

52%

-3.4pp

57%

Under 2.5

56%

+0.9pp

43%

Over 2.5

44%

-0.9pp

44%

BTTS Yes

46%

-2.0pp

56%

BTTS No

54%

+2.0pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oxford United v Sheffield United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 25%

Head to Head

AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 56%

+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%

1.03/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.76

+26% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +92%

49% Ball Possession 51%

10 Total Shots 12

4 Shots on Target 6

4 Corners 5

324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%

19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6

14.6 Crosses 18.9

1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Oxford United vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Oxford United

0W-0D-5L

AWAY Sheffield United

0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80

0.26 xG 3.56

45% Ball Possession 55%

10 Total Shots 10

6 Shots on Target 7

4 Corners 6

303 Passes 715

81% Pass Accuracy 90%

7 Box Touches 33

18 Crosses 14

1 Yellow Cards 1

The Meetings

26.11.2024 Sheffield United

3-0 HT 2-0

Oxford United İNCL

07.03.2017 Oxford United

2-3 HT 1-0

Sheffield United İN1

27.08.2016 Sheffield United

2-1 HT 0-1

Oxford United İN1

05.01.2013 Oxford United

0-3 HT 0-1

Sheffield United FAK

12.11.2011 Sheffield United

3-0 HT 2-0

Oxford United FAK

Oxford United 1-0 Sheffield United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Oxford United

1-0

AWAY Sheffield United

1.31 xG 1.26

26% Ball Possession 74%

9 Total Shots 15

3 Shots on Target 4

2 Corners 10

98 Passes 380

55% Pass Accuracy 79%

16 Box Touches 38

11 Crosses 31

2 Yellow Cards 3

POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Sheffield United

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United nicked a narrow win over Sheffield United 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sheffield United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Oxford United had 26% of the ball to Sheffield United's 74%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.31 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sheffield United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Oxford United and 2.80 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Sheffield United?

Oxford United 1-0 Sheffield United in the England - Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 24%, draw 27%, Sheffield United 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sheffield United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No

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