West Bromwich 0-1 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Apr 2025

West Bromwich
0-1 HT 0-1
Sunderland
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

West Bromwich vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.29
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
16%
5.0
X/2
12%
6.42
X/X
16%
4.29
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.83
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Bromwich v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.39/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.33
+6% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
22.5 Crosses 13.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

West Bromwich vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sunderland
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 0.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
333 Passes 390
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
13.04.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-1 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
09.12.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 2-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
23.04.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-2 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
12.12.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 1-2 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
21.01.2017 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-0 HT 2-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP

West Bromwich 0-1 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
0-1
AWAY Sunderland
1.71 xG 0.48
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
366 Passes 175
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
40 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland squeezed past West Bromwich 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sunderland found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, West Bromwich had 64% of the ball to Sunderland's 36%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.71 to 0.48 — on chances, West Bromwich could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Bromwich and 1.00 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Sunderland?

West Bromwich 0-1 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 36%, draw 32%, Sunderland 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (West Bromwich) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Under 2.5
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