Preston North End 1-1 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Apr 2025

Preston North End
1-1 HT 1-0
Stoke City
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Preston North End vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No OUR CALL
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.89
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.72
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
11%
5.17
X/2
12%
5.93
X/X
13%
3.83
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
18%
4.59
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preston North End v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.21/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.41
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.8 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Preston North End vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stoke City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.73 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
252 Passes 288
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
09.03.2024 Preston North End Preston North End 1-2 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
02.09.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-2 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
02.01.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
15.10.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 0-2 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
03.01.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 1-2 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL

Preston North End 1-1 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
1-1
AWAY Stoke City
0.51 xG 2.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
191 Passes 231
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End and Stoke City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Preston North End at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Preston North End had 46% of the ball to Stoke City's 54%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.51 to 2.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Preston North End and 0.83 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Stoke City?

Preston North End 1-1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 41%, draw 25%, Stoke City 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Preston North End), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
5 Apr 2025
14:30 West Bromwich vs Sunderland Analysis →
14:30 Coventry vs Burnley Analysis →
14:30 Luton Town vs Leeds United Analysis →
17:00 Millwall vs Portsmouth Analysis →
17:00 Swansea City vs Derby County Analysis →
17:00 Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City Analysis →