Brescia vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brescia v Mantova — Team-Based Signals
Brescia vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Mantova
İTB
2-2
HT 1-1
Brescia
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Mantova
İTB
0-2
HT 0-0
Brescia
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
Brescia
İTB
Brescia 1-2 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics
Mantova nicked a narrow win over Brescia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Brescia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Brescia had 34% of the ball to Mantova's 66%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.10 to 1.87.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brescia had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brescia and 0.67 for Mantova.
What was the final score of Brescia vs Mantova?
Brescia 1-2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brescia vs Mantova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brescia 42%, draw 30%, Mantova 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.