Cittadella 0-0 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 32% vs market 30.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.09
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
10%
5.83
X/2
13%
5.66
X/X
20%
4.08
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
14%
3.92
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.3pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.11/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/0.22
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.3 Crosses 21.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Carrarese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.34 xG 0.48
41% Ball Possession 59%
20 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
290 Passes 468
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 26
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.10.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 3-0 HT 3-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
0-0
AWAY Carrarese
0.54 xG 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
198 Passes 331
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella and Carrarese fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 35% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Cittadella had 41% of the ball to Carrarese's 59%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.54 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Carrarese?

Cittadella 0-0 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 30%, draw 35%, Carrarese 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Carrarese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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