Frosinone 2-2 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.71
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.46
X/2
11%
8.05
X/X
10%
4.01
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
12%
6.76
2/X
9%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.45/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.38
-22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
23.5 Crosses 19.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.51 xG 0.62
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 267
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.12.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
18.03.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 0-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
29.10.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 1-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
02.03.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
16.10.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
06.03.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 1-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
2-2
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.82 xG 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
443 Passes 245
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone and Cosenza Calcio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Frosinone at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Frosinone had 62% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 38%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.82 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Frosinone and 0.67 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Cosenza Calcio?

Frosinone 2-2 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 41%, draw 29%, Cosenza Calcio 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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