Pisa vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pisa v Modena — Team-Based Signals
Pisa vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Pisa
İTB
1-0
HT 1-0
Pisa
İTB
4-2
HT 1-1
Modena
İTB
3-3
HT 2-3
Pisa
İTB
Pisa 1-2 Modena — Actual Match Statistics
Modena nicked a narrow win over Pisa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Pisa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Pisa had 62% of the ball to Modena's 38%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.63 to 1.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pisa and 1.83 for Modena.
What was the final score of Pisa vs Modena?
Pisa 1-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pisa vs Modena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pisa 46%, draw 26%, Modena 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.